It’s always good to reflect on happenings past, with the end of the year being a good time to do so for many people. Matt and Tim do just that in the latest episode of Trading Justice.
Matt lead with the Fed starting its program of normalizing interest rates and the implications that will have on the market moving into 2016, while Tim split his top pick between August’s flash crash and the Yuan being added to the SDR.
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Description
It’s always good to reflect on happenings past, with the end of the year being a good time to do so for many people. Matt and Tim do just that in the latest episode of Trading Justice.
Matt lead with the Fed starting its program of normalizing interest rates and the implications that will have on the market moving into 2016, while Tim split his top pick between August’s flash crash and the Yuan being added to the SDR.
Tim chose another major event that left the world stunned in mid-January:s the Swiss Franc de-pegging to the Euro, wrecking countless businesses overnight and playing havoc on forex trading. Dovetailing the uncertainty, Matt listed all things China, from its stock market intervention to its ongoing recession and the impact it’s having on the world.
Coming in at number three for both Tim and Matt was the drop in price of crude oil. Unrestrained pumping by OPEC countries to attempt to drive out frackers, Iran about to come back into the international market, and a global slowdown in demand have all lead to a market glut that will likely not clear out through much of 2016.
With interest rates still at record lows earlier this year, many businesses, including names like Apple, took advantage of cheap loans to buy back shares from the public, consolidating ownership for these companies back inward. Both Matt and Tim highlighed this, with Matt at number four and Tim at number five.
Tim’s fourth biggest news story of the year was the European Central Bank announcing its own QE program. With markets slowing down worldwide earlier this year (and Greece taking center stage at the time), Draghi announced a $1 trillion Euro QE program in an attempt to stimulate the Eurozone’s economy.
Massive valuations for tech companies are the order of the day, much as they were in 1999 – 2000. With companies like uber weighing in at over $1 billion(US) in valuation by private equity firms, it feels reminiscent of the previous tech bubbles in the past. Whether those valuations will actually carry over into the IPO for these companies (particularly for lawsuit targets like uber), remains to be seen. Matt pegs this impending bubble at number five for the year.
The Brothers Justice take a look at their respective top five major news events for the year and went back to check on predictions made back in 2014.
Notes
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